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Big 12 Betting Thread

Big 12 Betting Preview 2019, win total picks, predictions

Big 12 Betting Preview

The Big 12 Betting Preview is unique due to the fact that the Big 12 only has one conference and every team within the conference plays against each other. You have to be careful with betting a lot of teams’ over/under totals in this conference because being way off on just one to two team’s expectations can really hurt you and affect all the other teams they play on the schedule.

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This is something you don’t see in the other power five conferences, as teams only play half of the conference. For example, if a team such as WVU or Kansas — both of whom don’t have high hopes this season — end up playing well, that could kill another team’s over total if you end up betting it. Keep it low volume and maybe just pick one or two teams to bet on in the Big 12.

 

Conference record, Full record

  1. Oklahoma, (11-1), (8-1)
  2. Texas, (10-2),(7-2)
  3. Iowa State, (8-4), (6-3)
  4. Oklahoma State, (8-4),(5-4)
  5. TCU, (7-5), (5-4)
  6. Baylor, (7-5), (4-5)
  7. Kansas State, (6-6), (4-5)
  8. West Virginia (5-7), (3-6)
  9. Texas Tech (5-7), (3-6)
  10. Kansas (2-10). (1-8)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oklahoma

2018 over/under win total: 10

2018 regular-season record: 11-1

Lincoln Riley has set a very high bar for the Sooners and it is college football playoffs or bust for the team. Are these expectations attainable? Jalen Hurts, the QB transfer from Alabama who was 26-2 as a starter, has a lot to do with these expectations. Hurts has looked solid during spring ball and brings a dual-threat capability as his predecessors Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray did. Let’s dive into the schedule as the Sooners play Houston and South Dakota, then head to the Rose Bowl to play UCLA.

The Sooners should start off the season 3-0 as they head into conference play. They have two very winnable games against Kansas and Texas Tech and should be 5-0 when they face Texas in the Red River Rivalry (full schedule here). Iowa State and TCU are two games that could give the Sooners fits, but both are at home. Then, they end the season at Oklahoma State, which will be a tough game as per usual. I only see the Sooners losing to Oklahoma State and Texas, and the floor for wins this season is 10. Even with some juice, you got to take the over here at 10 wins. I think the Sooners will drop a game either to Texas or Oklahoma State, but will handle the rest of the schedule well, which top to bottom is not very tough.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 10 wins (-165), under 10 (+145)

Big 12 Betting Preview

Sam Ehlinger. Texas Athletics

Texas

2018 over/under win total: 9

2018 regular season record: 9-3

Is Texas back? Well, it depends on who you ask. Texas went 9-3 last year and will be one of the top teams in the Big 12. They are also coming off a big Sugar Bowl win over the Georgia Bulldogs. It all starts will the QB play of  Sam Ehlinger, who played well last year. Sam will have one of his top targets back in WR Collin Johnson and this duo will be the core of the offense. Texas has a tough non-conference match-up week 2 against LSU at home. Then, they face Oklahoma and Oklahoma State at home in the middle of the season. TCU, Iowa State and Baylor will all be tough road games for the Longhorns this season (full schedule here). The over pick for Texas is the popular choice here, and I get that this is due partially to the big win over Georgia, but I believe it is the right pick. I am high on Tom Herman as a head coach, and it seems to be the hype is justified with him. Fire up the over, as I have the Longhorns going 10-2.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 9.5 (+150), under 9.5 (+180)

Iowa State

2018 over/under win total: 6.5

2018 regular season record: 8-4

It will be an interesting year for the Cyclones, as there are some high expectations headed into the season after going 8-4 in the regular season last year. The Cyclones lost RB David Montgomery and wide receiver Hakeem Butler to the NFL draft. Quarterback Brock Purdy stepped in as a true freshman last year and turned the season around. After a 1–3 start for the Cyclones, Iowa State switched to Purdy and went 7–2. But if you take a deeper look at the schedule, Iowa State started the season with three losses against Iowa and Oklahoma — who were ranked and both games on the road — and TCU, who played in a bowl on the road also. Purdy came in and won games against Texas Tech, Baylor, Kansas, and Drake. He did have big wins against West Virginia and Oklahoma State, but the schedule was a lot easier when Purdy was starting. As far as this year, the toughest stretch is facing Oklahoma State, Oklahoma and Texas in three straight games (full schedule). The fate of the line may come in the game against Iowa, as they look for revenge after last year’s game. I am torn on this line and I guess I will go over, but I believe they land right at eight wins. If you can get the line at 8.5 or 7.5, bet accordingly (them winning eight games). If it is at eight, roll with the over!

2019 over/under win total prediction: Over 8 (-125), under 8 (+105)

ACC Betting Preview 2019, win total picks, predictions

Big 12 Betting Thread

Chuba Hubbard, OSU Athletics

Oklahoma State

2018 over/under win total: 8

2018 regular season record: 6-6

Oklahoma State was very inconsistent last year, winning games against Boise State, Texas and West Virginia (all ranked), but losing games to Kansas State, Texas Tech and Baylor (all-unranked). This year, they are expected to be led by Spencer Sanders, who seems to be the front runner for the starting QB position. There is a continued competition from Dru Brown, the Hawaii transfer, and we will monitor this throughout camp. Chuba Hubbard is one of the faster players in college football; make sure to keep an eye on him this season. The Cowboys open up the season against an Oregon State team they should handle alright, followed by McNeese State and Tulsa. They most likely will be 3-0 headed into Austin to play Texas. Then, they play Kansas State, Texas Tech and Baylor in the middle of their schedule. To end the season, they play 3 out of 4 at home (full schedule).  Mike Gundy is another coach I have confidence in when it comes to getting his men to play to their potential, and I think Oklahoma State will win eight games this regular season.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 7 (-130), under 7 (+110)

West Virginia

2018 over/under win total: 7.5

2018 regular-season record: 8-3

Starting QB Will Grier and head coach Dana Holgorsen are gone, so it will be a new look for this West Virginia team. Troy’s Neal Brown will be tested right off the bat in week two against Missouri and NC State in week three. This is one of the toughest non-conference schedules of the Big 12 teams (maybe besides Texas playing LSU), so they will have their hands full (full here schedule). The 3-3-5 defense that Holgorsen stood by is gone, and WVU is moving to the 4-2. There will be a QB battle between Miami (Fla.) transfer Jack Allison and Austin Kendall (Oklahoma transfer). Kendall is the front runner, based off of spring ball, but we will follow this into camp. There are a lot of question marks for the Mountaineers and this truly is a rebuilding year for them, including the new defense, new head coach, and new QB. Play the under here!

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 5 (-105), under 5 (-125)

TCU

Big 12 Betting Preview

Taye Barber, TCU Athletics

2018 over/under win total: 7.5

2018 regular-season record: 6-6

TCU will have talent on this team, but their schedule won’t do them any favors this season. They play Purdue week two on the road and then head to Iowa State, Kansas State, Texas and Oklahoma State. Then, the Horned Frogs play seven straight weeks without a bye to end the season (full schedule). Gary Patterson is a great coach, no denying that, but there are some question marks on the roster.  Shawn Robinson, who was the starting QB last season, transferred to Missouri, and Max Duggan (true freshman), Alex Delton (K-State transfer), Matthew Baldwin (Ohio State transfer) will battle it out for the starting position. It looks like Delton is the front-runner, but regardless, the schedule is brutal. I have TCU winning 7 games this season, and this is an under play for me.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 7.5 (-115), under 7.5 (-115)

Pac-12 Betting Preview 2019, win total picks, predictions

Baylor

2018 over/under win total: 6

2018 regular season record: 6-6

Baylor went from 1–11 to 7–6 last year (6-6 in the regular season). This year, they should start the season off 3-0 playing Stephen F. Austin, UTSA and Rice. They will have a tough stretch with games against Oklahoma State (away), West Virginia, (home), TCU (away), Oklahoma (home), and Texas (home) (full here schedule).  Charlie Brewer will be behind center for the Bears this season and hopes to build off of his success last year. Brewer will have plenty of options with guys such as Denzel Mims, Jared Atkinson and Marques Jones. There will be some questions in the secondary for the Bears, and they also will need to protect Brewer, as Baylor led the Big 12 in sacks allowed last year. I actually think seven wins would be a successful season for the Bears, but the total line is set at 7.5. With the schedule at hand, I have the Bears at 7-5, and this line is inflated.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 7.5 (-130), under 7.5 (+100)

Big 12 Betting Preview

Skylar Thompson, Kansas State Athletics

Kansas State

2018 over/under win total: 6.5

2018 regular season record: 5-7

Chris Klieman (from powerhouse NDSU) will take over at head coach for Bill Synder. K-State plays at Mississippi State in Week 3 (which will be a tough game). They also play TCU, Texas and Oklahoma in four weeks (full schedule here). Kansas State should be decent on offense, with Ball State transfer James Gilbert, who will most likely become the starter at back. Skylar Thompson has really started to grasp the offense out in Manhattan, but we will see what the change at coach will do to this growth. Klieman is a defensive-minded coach, so this most likely won’t be that much of a change for the offense. I think the Wildcats can win six games looking at this schedule given the talent and coaching. Go with the over here at +110

2019 over/under win total prediction: Kansas State over 5.5 (+110), 5.5 under (-140)

Texas Tech

2018 over/under win total: 6

2018 regular season record: 5-7

Bye-bye Kliff Kingsbury (sorry ladies), as Utah State’s Matt Wells is the new head coach this year. The Red Raiders travel to Arizona in a non-conference game in Week 3, then get a bye week before facing off at Oklahoma and then Oklahoma State at home. Texas Tech closes the season at Texas, which I’ll chalk up an L for them on that one. David Yost is back as offensive coordinator, and this will be a similar offense to last year. Yost will work with quarterback Alan Bowman, who will rely on targets such as Seth Collins, T.J. Vasher and Ta’Zhawn Henry. I think this Red Raiders team takes a step back this season and only wins five games. There is a lot of good talent in the Big 12, and unfortunately, the Red Raiders are on the bottom of it.

2019 over/under win total prediction: Over 6 (+125), 6 under (-155)

Kansas

Big 12 Betting Preview

Les Miles, Kansas City Star

2018 over/under win total: 2.5

2018 regular season record: 3-9

Well, it is ex-LSU coach Les Miles’ time in Lawrence, and he looks to turn one of the worst football programs around. Thomas MacVittie, the number one JUCO transfer last year, will be behind center for the Jayhawks. Kansas will be underdogs in all nine of their conference games, so this line really comes down to if you think the Jayhawks can win a conference game (full schedule here). I have this team winning two games, and I think they may find an additional win. But, even so, this leaves them at three wins. Their defense is going to struggle like it did last season, and I don’t see how they win four games, so I am definitely playing the under here.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 3 (+120), under 3 (-150)

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