Here are our 8/1 Free Picks. 23 days til college football! Broncos and Falcons on Thursday to kick off the preseason tonight!
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers (-210, 7.5)
The Padres and Dodgers start off a four-game series in LA, and tonight is Joey Lucchesi of the Padres facing Clayton Kershaw for the Dodgers. Kershaw has am impressive 2.85/3.37/1.02 split on the year. He has neutralized the Padres’ bats historically only allowing a .204 BA on 148 PAs and only allowing 4 HRs. Conversely, Lucchesi has a 4.12/3.90/1.18 split on the year and has allowed a .275 BA on 54 PAs and giving up 3 HRs. 54 is a small sample size but the early trends aren’t in his favor.
The Dodgers are hot and will have confidence headed back to LA after a road trip in Colorado. Kershaw has the Padres’ number and this is a great spot for the Dodgers tonight.
Pick- Dodgers -1.5 (-105)
Denver Broncos (-2.5, 34.5 vs Atlanta Falcons)
Football is back and we should all be excited about that. But no one should bet this game if you think you are going to find value or an edge. Sure, bet on either team, but don’t get disappointed if you lose the bet. Both teams are rolling out their second-stringers to start the game, a lot of them have never played in the NFL. and this is a neutral site game.
I will note that Dan Quinn has a 4-12 ATS career record in the preseason including 0-10 ATS in his last preseason games. This is probably why the Broncos have the public bet here.
Stay away from this game, watch it as a fan and save the bankroll for a game with better value.