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Big 10 Betting Preview

Big Ten Betting Preview 2019, win total picks, predictions

  • by Ben Cary
  • July 11, 2019
  • NCAAF

The Big Ten Betting Preview is a fun one as there are, in my mind, 6 teams that will be in contention for the Big Ten crown. You have your typical powerhouses in Michigan and Ohio State, but also have teams like Iowa and Nebraska that are trying to make some noise coming out of the West Division. Don’t sleep on teams like Michigan State or Wisconsin, who are two programs that have been successful just a few years removed.

East Divison

conference record, full record

1 Michigan 8-2 10-2
2 Ohio State 8-2 10-2
3 Michigan St 6-3 9-3
4 Penn State 5-4 8-4
5 Maryland 2-7 4-8
6 Indiana 2-7 5-7
7 Rutgers 0-9 2-10

West Divison

conference record, full record

1 Wisconsin 6-3 9-3
2 Nebraska 6-3 8-4
3 Iowa 5-4 8-4
4 Northwestern 5-4 6-6
5 Purdue 4-5 6-6
6 Minnesota 4-5 7-5
7 Illinois 1-8 4-8


Big Ten East Division (Big Ten Betting Preview)

"<yoastmark

Michigan

2018 over/under win total: 9

2018 regular season record: 10-2

Michigan was 10-0 before facing off against Ohio State, losing as road favorites and a 41-15 defeat to Florida in the Peach Bowl. Despite those two bad losses, Michigan had a very strong season. Michigan should be 2-0, heading into a bye week, and then a tough game week 4 against Wisconsin. They also face Notre Dame and Michigan in the middle of the season but both are at home (see full schedule here). Then, of course, a date with Ohio State at the end of the year. I like how Michigan’s schedule shapes up and I believe they are on a revenge tour this season. Shea Patterson is back at QB, who finished last season with over 2,600 yards and 22 touchdowns in total. Michigan will have some holes to fill on defense losing Rashan Gary and linebacker Devin Bush Jr. Look for players such as Carlo Kemp, Michael Dwumfour, and Central Michigan transfer Mike Danna to step up this season. 11 wins will be tough to come by with a tough B10 schedule and a date with ND.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 10.5 (+160), under 10.5 (-180)

Ohio State

2018 over/under win total: 10.5

2018 regular season record: 11-1

"<yoastmark

Ryan Day takes over for Urban Meyer this season and he will have plenty of weapons to work with on this Buckeyes team, specifically on offense. Georgia transfer quarterback Justin Fields will be the starter behind center this year for the Buckeyes. The Buckeyes play at Northwestern and Nebraska on a Friday night, which both could be tough road tests. They host Wisconsin, Michigan State, and Penn State as well. “The Game” against Michigan is in Ann Arbor this year which will be a tough test (Full schedule here). I don’t think this Buckeyes team is as talented as last year, losing Weber, Jones, Haskins, and Bosa but still will make noise. There are some question marks on defense, but I think the offense will do just fine. I have the Buckeyes losing 2 games this season, one against Michigan. I think another loss comes somewhere vs either Michigan State, Wisconsin or Nebraska. This line is right where is should be at 10, but Ohio State has a better chance to land over this than under in my opinion.

2019 over/under win total prediction: Over 10 (-135), Under 10 (+115)

Michigan State

2018 over/under win total: 9

2018 regular season record: 7-5

Well, this is one of my dark horses in the Big Ten as all eyes are on Ohio State, Michigan & Nebraska (deservedly so). The market is low on the Spartans.  Spartans have a tough schedule and will face an Arizona State team, who they will look to get revenge on from last year’s loss. Sparty has to play Ohio State, Michigan, Northwestern and Wisconsin all on the road. I will admit that they probably go 2-2 in these games. I have them winning over Arizona State, Tulsa, Western Michigan, Maryland, Indiana, Illinois, and Penn State (see full schedule here). Michigan State has all the pieces to make a run. Brian Lewerke is healthy as he was banged up most of the second part of the season. Sparty may have the best wide receiving core in the Big 1o with playmakers such as Cody White, Darrell Stewart Jr. and Jalen Nailor. This will be a different offense from last year as MSU struggled to score most of the season. The upside is big for this team and this is one of my surprise teams of 2019, and I have them going 9-3.

2019 over/under win total prediction- Over 8 (-130), Under 8 (-110)

Pac-12 Betting Preview 2019, win total picks, predictions

Penn State

"<yoastmark

2018 over/under win total: 9.5

2018 regular season record: 9-3

Penn State starts off the season against Idaho and Buffalo, which they should both win. Pittsburgh will be a toss-up game and then the Nittany Lions head into conference play. Penn State will look to replace Trace McSorley at QB, who lead the Nittany Lions to 9 wins last year. Tommy Stevens was expected to be the guy at QB for Penn State, but the fifth-year senior transfer to Mississippi State. Sophomore, Sean Clifford, will most likely be the starter this year behind center. The Lions return two veterans in the secondary, safety Garrett Taylor and cornerback John Reid. Penn State finished 8th in the country in pass efficiency defense last year. Penn State will face games against Iowa. Purdue, Michigan and Michigan State in four straight weeks (full schedule here). They also travel to Columbus to play the Buckeyes. Penn State should finish 8-4 this season.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 8.5 (+120), under 8.5 (-135) 

 

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Maryland

2018 over/under win total: 4.5

2018 regular season record: 5-7

Maryland starts of the season against Howard, Syracuse, and Temple. They will most likely start the season 2-1 (Temple will be no push-over on the road). Mike Locksley, ex (OC) at Alabama, takes over at the helm for the Terps who went 5-7 last year. Running back Anthony McFarland Jr. was a stud last year rushing for over 1,000 yards and averaged 8 yards a carry. Maryland’s rushing offense was 17th best in the nation, averaging 230 yards a game. Josh Jackson, transfer from Virginia Tech, will be the starting QB headed into the season. The offense will be fine this year but the defense is a whole different story. The Terps defense gave up 390 yards and 28 points per game last year and only return 3 starters on defense, (maybe that is a blessing with those stats), and this is a huge question mark for Maryland  The Terps have a brutal stretch to end the season against Michigan, Ohio State, Nebraska & Michigan State. (see full schedule here). 4-8 is the ceiling for the Terps with the 17th toughest schedule and 4 wins is what they will land at.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 3.5 (-135), under 3.5 (+125)

"<yoastmark

Indiana

2018 over/under win total: 5.5

2018 regular season record: 5-7

The Hoosier faithful may be anticipating basketball season sooner than they will want to this football season. They do have Ball State, Eastern Illinois, and Connecticut, which I am going to chalk up wins for them. Indiana will have their toughest and biggest game of the season in Week 3 when they face Ohio State at home. There may be a bit of QB controversy with Peyton Ramsey, Michael Penix, and Utah transfer Jack Tuttle headed into the season. Ramsey most likely will win the job, but ultimately the Hoosiers will end up at 5-7 with the stretch of Nebraska, Penn State, Michigan, and Northwestern (see full schedule here). I am fine with paying for the extra juice here.

2019 over/under win total prediction: 0ver 6.5 (+125), under 6.5 (-155)

Rutgers

2018 over/under win total: 3.5

2018 regular season record: 1-11

Rutgers is going to have a tough season as they enter conference play. The only two winnable games I really see on the schedule are Liberty and UMass (you can see full schedule here). The Scarlet Knights end the season against Ohio State, Michigan State, and Penn State. There is not much to talk about for the Knights this year as they will be one of the worst teams in football in one of the toughest conferences. I don’t see the Knights winning one conference game and they will go 2-10 this season. I will take the value here at +130.

2019 over/under win total prediction- over 2.5 (-150), under 2.5 (+130)

Big Ten West (Big Ten Betting Preview)

Big 10 Betting Preview

Jonathan Taylor, Saturday Tradition

Wisconsin

2018 over/under win total: 10

2018 regular season record: 7-5

Wisconsin had several injuries last year, and even going 7-5 was a disappoint as they were expected to win around 10 games (not to mention starting the season #4). A 35-3 win over Miami in the Pinstripe Bowl was a great way to end the year and hopefully, they rode some of that momentum into the offseason. Wisconsin is led by RB Jonathan Taylor, who rushed for 2,194 yards and 16 touchdowns as a sophomore last year and will be in the Heisman conversation this season. The Badgers start the season the road against USF as to point favorites, then play 5 straight home games. They, unfortunately, have to play Michigan, Michigan State and Ohio State from the Big Ten East (full schedule here). These 3 teams are easily the toughest from that side of the conference and the Badgers have a tough draw here. Playing back-to-back games against Iowa and Nebraska will decide who wins this side of the conference. I really do believe the Badgers are the best team in the East but they have the toughest schedule out of Iowa and Nebraska.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 8 (-155), under 8 (+125)

ACC Betting Preview 2019, win total picks, predictions

Nebraska

2018 over/under win total: 6.5

2018 regular season record: 4-8

"<yoastmark

This is one of the most interesting teams heading into this year for a few reasons. Last year had a lot of growing pains as Frost’s first year didn’t go as planned. Nebraska ended up at 4-8 and the way they lost some of these games down the stretch is what hurt the most. After the Colorado loss at home, things went downhill (with Martinez injured) but there was some improve at the end of the year. Nebraska plays the Buffs again this year in Boulder and I expect a revenge performance and a win from Nebraska. Last season, I questioned some of the calls and clock management down the stretch in a few of Nebraska’s losses. Frost will do great things, but how great of a coach is he really? I don’t he is Tom Osborne, maybe more a Frank Solich. Luckily, the Huskers schedule is very advantageous if you are a Husker fan. This line is at 8.5 and is a hard one to make a decision on because of how easy this schedule. I just don’t see the Huskers improving by 5 games over last year (see full schedule here). They really do have a good shot to win the Big Ten West and it will really come down to games between Wisconsin and Iowa. Nebraska bounces back and heads to the Holiday Bowl but ends up the regular season at 8-4.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 8.5 (-110), 8.5 under (-110)

Iowa

2018 over/under win total: 7.5

2018 regular season record: 8-4

Iowa has a tough schedule as they face Iowa State (Away), Michigan (Away), Wisconsin (Away), Nebraska (Away)(see full schedule). These are the 4 toughest games on the road for the Hawkeyes. Senior QB Nate Stanley will be back and is the leader of this team. Unfortunately, he lost Noah Fant and T.J. Hockenson at TE (two of his top pass targets). Conversely, Ihmir Smith-Marsette and Brandon Smith are back as wide-outs and will be playmakers this year. Of course, you can expect this Iowa team to be physical up front as most of the line returns and both of the top RBs from last year. Iowa will squeeze out 8 wins this year.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 7.5 (-140), under 7.5 (+110)

Northwestern

2018 over/under win total: 6

2018 regular season record: 8-4

"<yoastmark

Northwestern exceeded expectations last year, winning the Big Ten West. The Wildcats open at Stanford in Week 1 before starting their Big Ten slate with a home game against Michigan State, which is followed by road trips to Wisconsin and Nebraska. The biggest question mark is at QB and what they will get out of Hunter Johnson. He is a five-star recruit coming out of the 2016 class. He is eligible to play this season after transferring from Clemson and sitting out last season. This team will be similar in talent to last year but the schedule is a tad tougher and I don’t think they replicate the success of last year with the resurgence of teams like Iowa, Wisconsin, and Nebraska expected. I could see the Wildcats starting the season 1-6, but then winning their last 5 games. I have them going 6-6 this year and falling under 6.5 wins

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 6.5 (+105), under 6.5 (-135)

Purdue

2018 over/under win total: 6

2018 regular season record: 6-6

Purdue went 6-6 last year and thanks to a huge win at home against Ohio State, which most did not see coming. Purdue has a tough non-conference slate against Nevada, Vanderbilt, and TCU. They do get a favorable draw, as does Nebraska, with the Big East opponents playing Penn State, Maryland & Indiana (see full schedule here). The Boilermakers also play on the road against at Iowa, Northwestern and Wisconsin during the second half of the year. Purdue lost quarterback David Blough to graduation and Elijah Sindelar will be the new starter. Rondale Moore is a standout and he will be back this year. He honestly is one of the most explosive players you’ll watch all season and will be a weapon again on offense and special teams. I have the Boilermakers landing at 6-6 again as they did last year.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 7 (-110), under 7 (-110)

"<yoastmark

Minnesota

2018 over/under win total: 6

2018 regular season record: 6-6

I have the Gophers going 3-0 in non-conference play against SDSU, Fresno State (tough road test) & Georgia Southern (full schedule here) They avoid Ohio State & Michigan from the East Division, but have tough games against Northwestern, Iowa, Penn State, and Wisconsin. The Gophers’ 9 returning offensive starters, which is the most in the Big Ten,  Sophomore QB Zack Annexstad will be the starter this year, after he was injured 7 games into the season. I have the Gophers winning 7 games overall, and 4-5 in conference play. Not sure if winning 7 games will be considered a successful year for the Gophers but that is most likely where they end up.

2019 over/under win total prediction: over 7.5 (-150), under 7.5 (+130).

Illinois

2018 over/under win total: 3.5

2018 regular season record: 4-8

Well, the good news is that the Illini won’t be as bad as the Rutgers in the Big Ten. They most likely will start off the season ar 3-0 against Akron, UConn and Eastern Michigan. They also play Rutgers which should be a win as well. All of a sudden, you have Illinois at 4 wins. The line is right at 4, of course, and the question will be if they can find another win on the schedule (see full schedule here). There best chance is either Purdue or Minnesota both on the road, or Northwestern at home The question will be if they can win another conference game and playing Michigan and Michigan State as their other East opponents doesn’t help. Maybe they can catch Nebraska, Wisconsin or Northwestern in a flat spot when those schools travel to Champaign. I think there is a better chance of Illinois losing to Akron or Eastern Michigan than winning against one of the aforementioned teams.

2019 over/under win total prediction: Over 4 (-110), Under 4 (-110). 

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