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Raptors vs Warriors game 6

5/21 Free Picks

Here are our 5/21 Free Picks. 

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5/21 Free Picks (MLB)-

5/21 Free PicksRoyals vs Cardinals -1.5 (+115)- Homer Bailey, I must say you have proven me wrong this year (but just twice). Homer Bailey is inconsistent, as you can see from his last several games . This Cardinal’s offense has Homer’s number. They are batting .364 on 204 ABs with 10 HRs. This is a strong enough sample size at 200 ABs to use this to handicap this match-up. Wacha for the Cardinals should have a decent outing, but the Cards are going to jump all over Bailey tonight. Expect a 8-4 type of game tonight at Busch Stadium.

Rockies -135 (F5) vs Pirates- German Marquez faces off against Chris Archer in Pittsburgh tonight. Archer has given up 15 runs in 12.7 innings of work in his last 3 games. All those games were against NL West foes also and at this point, it has gotten mental for him. I actually believe he has a average outing, but this play is more about Marquez than it is Archer for me.

Last game was a rough one for Marquez against the hot Red Sox bats on the road. He gave up 5 runs in 6.3 innings of work.  His stats before that were a.125 ERA with a .180 wOBA thus far. Last season, Marquez allowed a .203 ERA with a .265 wOBA. All-time, Marquez has a 3.46 road ERA with a .297 wOBA. At home in Coors Field, Marquez has a .341 wOBA against in 918 plate appearances. Marquez is a road warrior and I am confident that he bounces back against the Pirates. Don’t look too much into the recency bias on him

 

5/21 Free Picks (NBA)-

Bucks vs Raptors +3 (217.5)

There is a popular stat circulating around the internet, which is the Bucks –“Including the playoffs, their record is at 22-1 SU and 19-4 ATS after a loss. The win margin in the 22 wins is 16.09!” Two things about this,

  • 1- they are (18-4 ATS) in the regular season and (1-0 in the playoffs). But this is a different atmosphere and sample with the Bucks being in the playoffs now. I don’t think there is a bigger discrepancy of any sport speaking to the regular season to playoffs as there is in the NBA.
  • 2-This is a playoff game on the road, in a close to must-win position for the Raptors in one of the most hostile crowds in the NBA. If you like the Bucks tonight, I hope there are other reasons than just this stat.

I actually like the Greek Freak to have a big game tonight but the Raptors are tough to beat at home. I have a slight lean with the Raptors +3 tonight and the over of 217.5. Prediction is Raptors 114-110.

Props for tonight (21-11 last 32 props)-

5/21 Prop Bets, Bucks vs Raptors (Game 4)

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