The Seahawks take on the Cowboys in an NFC wild-card playoff game from AT&T Stadium in Arlington this Saturday. These teams met earlier this season in Seattle in September. The Seahawks won 24-13 and the game was in Seattle. The Cowboys come into this one winning seven of their last eight and have some momentum coming into this match-up. Confidence is at an all-time high for the Cowboys, but Russell Wilson and the Seahawks bring playoff experience to the game.
Seattle has been lead by their running game and ball control this season. Chris Carson has led the running game posting 1,151 yards rushing and nine TDs with 20 catches for 163 yards. Wilson has completed 65.6 percent of his passes for 3,448 yards with 35 TDs, posting a 110.9 QB rating. Tyler Lockett and Doug Baldwin have combined for (107 catches for 1583 yards, 15 TDs) and have been solid WR’s all season for the Hawks.
Ezekiel Elliott is the workhorse for Cowboys and led the NFL with 1,434 yards rushing and 9 TDs and need a big game out of him to beat the Seahawks. Dallas has one of the top defensives in the NFL, ranking 7th in the NFL overall. They will need to slow down the run game of the Seahawks to force them to be a one dimension team on the road.
Today’s picks (all games)-
Here are some significant trends going in this game-
ATS stands for against the spread.
This is a coin flip game in my opinion and I have gone back in forth a few times. Seattle has the playoff experience but a majority of the legion of boom who has that experience are no longer with the team. Dallas is 6-2 at home and has some serious momentum coming into this game. They are more confident on offense than they were earlier this season with the added addition of Amari Cooper. I think the Cowboys are the more talented team overall, but the Seahawks have more experience and a better coach. The difference for me is not so much the home field advantage for the Cowboys, but just because this game isn’t in Seattle. I would feel comfortable even laying -2.5 if the Seahawks were at home, but Cowboys at home will sneak out a win.
The over/under is also tight, and it really comes down to if the game is close throughout (which would help the under). I say this because both teams will stick to the run game which will run the clock. The line opened at 41, which I was neutral on, but it is now at 43, and I will have to lean with the under of 43. This will be a close game with the spread and over/under, and I expect a score somewhere close to 21-17.
SCORE 3 UNANSWERED TIMES (NO) +160
LONGEST TD (UNDER 41 YARDS) -115
GAME DECIDED BY EXACTLY 3 POINTS (YES ) +375 – This is a longer shot prop, but great value here with both defenses and a low over/under. I would play a .25 – .50 unit on this.
SEAHAWKS TOTAL TEAM FG (OVER 1.5 FGS) +100
TOTAL SACKS (OVER 5.5 sacks)- Both QBs will scramble, which is great for this prop (as long as they are tackled before the line of scrimmage of course
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